OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Denver to Chicago

888 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DEN–ORD arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay65 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 5,977 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Envoy Air
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights108
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9075 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights189
  • United Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights3,701
  • American Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel1.8%
    Flights1,469
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time59%
    Median5 min
    p9070 min
    Cancel0.4%
    Flights510

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline26%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)30%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline28%
  • Weather69%
  • Air traffic (NAS)3%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 58 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DEN → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 5,747 flights
  • Middays75% on time · p90 45 min · 4,938 flights
  • Overnights69% on time · p90 80 min · 1,543 flights
  • Afternoons64% on time · p90 65 min · 3,372 flights
  • Evenings62% on time · p90 95 min · 3,333 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 76% on time.

  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 50 min · 2,649 flights
  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 2,616 flights
  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 50 min · 2,459 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 55 min · 2,781 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 60 min · 2,829 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 50 min · 2,794 flights
  • Sundays70% on time · p90 60 min · 2,805 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.