OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Denver to Minneapolis

680 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DEN–MSP arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 5,712 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel4.1%
    Flights122
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights1,805
  • United Airlines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.4%
    Flights1,434
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,744
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9080 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights607

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline31%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)13%
  • Late aircraft53%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline28%
  • Weather54%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 39 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DEN → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 5,002 flights
  • Middays79% on time · p90 35 min · 4,022 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 40 min · 3,292 flights
  • Evenings67% on time · p90 70 min · 3,384 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 75 min · 2,547 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 75% to 79% on time.

  • Saturdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 2,171 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 2,584 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 45 min · 2,567 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 40 min · 2,682 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 45 min · 2,750 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 2,740 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 45 min · 2,756 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→DEN airportDenver→MSP airportMinneapolis→Delta Air Linesairline profile→Southwest Airlinesairline profile→United Airlinesairline profile→Seasonal delay patternsguide→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.