OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Denver to Chicago

895 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DEN–MDW arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.8%of scheduled flights

based on 2,271 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.8%
    Flights2,271

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline33%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Late aircraft52%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline18%
  • Weather57%
  • Air traffic (NAS)25%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 40 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DEN → MDW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 2,957 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,732 flights
  • Afternoons69% on time · p90 45 min · 1,410 flights
  • Overnights59% on time · p90 80 min · 1,116 flights
  • Evenings54% on time · p90 85 min · 1,705 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 78% on time.

  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,218 flights
  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 999 flights
  • Tuesdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 1,229 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 45 min · 1,398 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 45 min · 1,396 flights
  • Sundays70% on time · p90 45 min · 1,317 flights
  • Thursdays70% on time · p90 50 min · 1,363 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.