OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Denver to Washington

1,476 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DEN–DCA arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,365 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights337
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.6%
    Flights1,028

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline20%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)39%
  • Late aircraft33%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DEN → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 2,148 flights
  • Middays74% on time · p90 50 min · 1,070 flights
  • Afternoons65% on time · p90 75 min · 1,093 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 81% on time.

  • Tuesdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 597 flights
  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 623 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 597 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 50 min · 625 flights
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 40 min · 622 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 65 min · 626 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 60 min · 621 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.