OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Louisville

474 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–SDF arrive on time 62% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate62%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay75 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled8.0%of scheduled flights

based on 954 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel6.8%
    Flights370
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time60%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel8.7%
    Flights584

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft55%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → SDF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 71% to 83% on time.

  • Middays83% on time · p90 30 min · 386 flights
  • Mornings82% on time · p90 25 min · 952 flights
  • Overnights82% on time · p90 30 min · 449 flights
  • Afternoons72% on time · p90 60 min · 552 flights
  • Evenings71% on time · p90 60 min · 858 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 82% on time.

  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 347 flights
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 35 min · 483 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 488 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 475 flights
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 487 flights
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 45 min · 477 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 50 min · 440 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.