OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Raleigh-durham

227 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–RDU arrive on time 69% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate69%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay65 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled5.0%of scheduled flights

based on 1,796 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel7.6%
    Flights582
  • Envoy Airbest
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel4.6%
    Flights366
  • American Airlines
    On-time65%
    Medianon time
    p90100 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights145
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel3.7%
    Flights703

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline21%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Late aircraft57%
  • Security1%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,825 flights
  • Afternoons82% on time · p90 30 min · 996 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 40 min · 1,757 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,834 flights
  • Overnights68% on time · p90 65 min · 1,131 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 82% on time.

  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 619 flights
  • Tuesdays81% on time · p90 40 min · 1,173 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 1,142 flights
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,169 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,178 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 50 min · 1,109 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 50 min · 1,153 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.