OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Minneapolis

931 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–MSP arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.4%of scheduled flights

based on 2,264 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights1,704
  • Republic Airways
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights47
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p9075 min
    Cancel6.0%
    Flights513

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline41%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 2,356 flights
  • Middays84% on time · p90 30 min · 1,759 flights
  • Afternoons77% on time · p90 40 min · 1,820 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 70 min · 1,046 flights
  • Overnights65% on time · p90 65 min · 213 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 86% on time.

  • Saturdays86% on time · p90 30 min · 880 flights
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,079 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,028 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,080 flights
  • Wednesdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 999 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 40 min · 1,066 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 1,062 flights
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Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→DCA airportWashington→MSP airportMinneapolis→SkyWest Airlines on this routecarrier detail→SkyWest Airlinesairline profile→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.