OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Minneapolis

931 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–MSP arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.3%of scheduled flights

based on 2,073 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Linesbest
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.9%
    Flights1,690
  • Republic Airways
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights47
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel4.5%
    Flights336

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline43%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline38%
  • Weather53%
  • Air traffic (NAS)9%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 47 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 15 min · 2,211 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,835 flights
  • Afternoons76% on time · p90 50 min · 1,812 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 80 min · 1,126 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 65 min · 260 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 85% on time.

  • Saturdays85% on time · p90 30 min · 862 flights
  • Tuesdays82% on time · p90 35 min · 1,094 flights
  • Sundays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,014 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 994 flights
  • Mondays79% on time · p90 35 min · 1,094 flights
  • Fridays78% on time · p90 45 min · 1,096 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 55 min · 1,090 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.