OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Madison

707 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–MSN arrive on time 67% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate67%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay80 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled4.3%of scheduled flights

based on 770 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • PSA Airlines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel3.0%
    Flights596
  • Republic Airways
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel8.6%
    Flights174

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline26%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft53%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → MSN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Afternoons are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 86% on time.

  • Afternoons86% on time · p90 20 min · 1,001 flights
  • Middays81% on time · p90 40 min · 778 flights
  • Mornings80% on time · p90 25 min · 175 flights · limited
  • Overnights66% on time · p90 60 min · 202 flights
  • Evenings57% on time · p90 100 min · 462 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 79% on time.

  • Sundays79% on time · p90 45 min · 400 flights
  • Saturdays78% on time · p90 45 min · 186 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 410 flights
  • Thursdays78% on time · p90 50 min · 399 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 50 min · 411 flights
  • Tuesdays77% on time · p90 65 min · 410 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 70 min · 402 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.