OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Madison

707 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–MSN arrive on time 66% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate66%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay80 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled5.2%of scheduled flights

based on 937 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • PSA Airlines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9080 min
    Cancel4.5%
    Flights688
  • Republic Airways
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel7.2%
    Flights249

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline24%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Late aircraft57%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline2%
  • Weather67%
  • Air traffic (NAS)31%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 49 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → MSN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 57% to 82% on time.

  • Afternoons82% on time · p90 35 min · 1,101 flights
  • Middays79% on time · p90 45 min · 839 flights
  • Mornings76% on time · p90 40 min · 290 flights
  • Overnights61% on time · p90 115 min · 335 flights
  • Evenings57% on time · p90 100 min · 464 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 77% on time.

  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 218 flights
  • Sundays76% on time · p90 50 min · 463 flights
  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 60 min · 473 flights
  • Thursdays74% on time · p90 60 min · 464 flights
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 65 min · 473 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 55 min · 471 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 70 min · 467 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.