OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Milwaukee

634 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–MKE arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay65 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled4.7%of scheduled flights

based on 1,330 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlinesbest
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights682
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time60%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel8.0%
    Flights648

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)13%
  • Late aircraft50%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → MKE

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 91% on time.

  • Mornings91% on time · p90 5 min · 551 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,235 flights
  • Afternoons72% on time · p90 40 min · 915 flights
  • Evenings63% on time · p90 70 min · 396 flights
  • Overnights62% on time · p90 75 min · 431 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 80% on time.

  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 40 min · 321 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 30 min · 541 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 540 flights
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 35 min · 534 flights
  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 60 min · 542 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 530 flights
  • Sundays73% on time · p90 55 min · 520 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.