OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to New York

213 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DCA–JFK arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled5.3%of scheduled flights

based on 2,704 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel5.5%
    Flights2,348
  • JetBlue Airways
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel4.2%
    Flights356

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline22%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)36%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DCA → JFK

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 1,961 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 40 min · 2,342 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 60 min · 862 flights
  • Overnights73% on time · p90 60 min · 178 flights · limited
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 65 min · 2,425 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 80% on time.

  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,118 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 1,115 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 1,117 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 1,096 flights
  • Sundays75% on time · p90 45 min · 1,120 flights
  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 50 min · 1,095 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 45 min · 1,107 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.