OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Baltimore to Chicago

621 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BWI–ORD arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.3%of scheduled flights

based on 2,363 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel2.7%
    Flights187
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights153
  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights1,091
  • Envoy Air
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel3.9%
    Flights932

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline21%
  • Weather14%
  • Air traffic (NAS)34%
  • Late aircraft31%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline4%
  • Weather51%
  • Air traffic (NAS)45%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 55 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BWI → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 2,517 flights
  • Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 2,803 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 65 min · 646 flights
  • Afternoons63% on time · p90 60 min · 342 flights
  • Evenings60% on time · p90 85 min · 1,804 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 81% on time.

  • Saturdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 986 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,137 flights
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,118 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,229 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 45 min · 1,185 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 1,231 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 40 min · 1,226 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.