OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Baltimore to Buffalo

281 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BWI–BUF arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,687 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights1,687

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline35%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)15%
  • Late aircraft47%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BWI → BUF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 843 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,306 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 40 min · 1,047 flights
  • Evenings63% on time · p90 70 min · 864 flights
  • Overnights53% on time · p90 60 min · 1,093 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 75% on time.

  • Tuesdays75% on time · p90 30 min · 786 flights
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 35 min · 790 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 40 min · 775 flights
  • Mondays72% on time · p90 40 min · 786 flights
  • Fridays70% on time · p90 45 min · 783 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 45 min · 671 flights
  • Saturdays67% on time · p90 55 min · 562 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.