OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Buffalo to Phoenix

1,912 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BUF–PHX arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.8%of scheduled flights

based on 262 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time71%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights262

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline14%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Late aircraft59%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BUF → PHX

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 129 flights · limited
  • Middays74% on time · p90 25 min · 82 flights · limited
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 40 min · 281 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 45 min · 134 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 78% on time.

  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 20 min · 65 flights · limited
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 30 min · 190 flights · limited
  • Thursdays76% on time · p90 30 min · 71 flights · limited
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 35 min · 88 flights · limited
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 30 min · 73 flights · limited
  • Mondays72% on time · p90 50 min · 74 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays71% on time · p90 60 min · 65 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.