OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Buffalo to Washington

296 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BUF–DCA arrive on time 58% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate58%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay105 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled7.6%of scheduled flights

based on 1,100 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights169
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time55%
    Median5 min
    p90125 min
    Cancel9.1%
    Flights850
  • Envoy Air
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel6.2%
    Flights81

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)22%
  • Late aircraft48%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BUF → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,094 flights
  • Middays74% on time · p90 55 min · 1,208 flights
  • Evenings63% on time · p90 80 min · 952 flights
  • Afternoons57% on time · p90 120 min · 237 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 76% on time.

  • Tuesdays76% on time · p90 60 min · 523 flights
  • Saturdays75% on time · p90 55 min · 374 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 60 min · 524 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 65 min · 511 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 55 min · 524 flights
  • Wednesdays72% on time · p90 50 min · 520 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 65 min · 516 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.