OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Boston to Chicago

861 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BOS–MDW arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,396 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time71%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights1,396

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline24%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Late aircraft58%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline10%
  • Weather62%
  • Air traffic (NAS)29%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 21 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BOS → MDW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 91% on time.

  • Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,418 flights
  • Middays87% on time · p90 15 min · 846 flights
  • Afternoons65% on time · p90 65 min · 605 flights
  • Overnights53% on time · p90 95 min · 412 flights
  • Evenings51% on time · p90 85 min · 770 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 81% on time.

  • Saturdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 519 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 532 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 537 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 60 min · 609 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 55 min · 621 flights
  • Thursdays71% on time · p90 60 min · 617 flights
  • Sundays71% on time · p90 60 min · 616 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.