Historical on-time performance
Nashville to Sacramento
1,917 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on BNA–SMF arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights
based on 318 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time71%Medianon timep9040 minCancel0.3%Flights318
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline31%
- Weather4%
- Air traffic (NAS)9%
- Late aircraft57%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly BNA → SMF
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 64% to 87% on time.
- Mornings87% on time · p90 20 min · 98 flights · limited
- Middays78% on time · p90 25 min · 219 flights
- Afternoons65% on time · p90 45 min · 234 flights
- Evenings64% on time · p90 40 min · 58 flights · limited
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 63% to 79% on time.
- Tuesdays79% on time · p90 25 min · 75 flights · limited
- Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 79 flights · limited
- Wednesdays76% on time · p90 25 min · 74 flights · limited
- Saturdays74% on time · p90 40 min · 145 flights · limited
- Fridays72% on time · p90 50 min · 79 flights · limited
- Thursdays70% on time · p90 40 min · 79 flights · limited
- Sundays63% on time · p90 45 min · 84 flights · limited
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