OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Nashville to Seattle

1,977 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BNA–SEA arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 1,379 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Linesbest
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights389
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time54%
    Median5 min
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights127
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights863

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BNA → SEA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 2,690 flights
  • Evenings68% on time · p90 45 min · 1,033 flights
  • Afternoons66% on time · p90 55 min · 190 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 75% to 85% on time.

  • Wednesdays85% on time · p90 25 min · 553 flights
  • Saturdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 566 flights
  • Tuesdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 558 flights
  • Mondays79% on time · p90 25 min · 581 flights
  • Sundays76% on time · p90 30 min · 551 flights
  • Thursdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 562 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 35 min · 575 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.