OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Nashville to New York

765 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BNA–JFK arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled4.3%of scheduled flights

based on 1,444 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel4.2%
    Flights942
  • JetBlue Airways
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel4.4%
    Flights502

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)38%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline8%
  • Weather53%
  • Air traffic (NAS)39%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 62 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BNA → JFK

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,544 flights
  • Middays79% on time · p90 40 min · 2,545 flights
  • Afternoons67% on time · p90 85 min · 808 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 80 min · 706 flights
  • Overnights40% on time · p90 120 min · 110 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 804 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 788 flights
  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 55 min · 829 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 50 min · 828 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 60 min · 803 flights
  • Mondays75% on time · p90 45 min · 830 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 50 min · 831 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.