OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Bismarck to Minneapolis

386 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on BIS–MSP arrive on time 83% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate83%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights

based on 870 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.4%
    Flights565
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights305

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline73%
  • Weather15%
  • Air traffic (NAS)10%
  • Late aircraft2%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline0%
  • Weather100%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 3 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly BIS → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 20 min · 1,896 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 35 min · 1,123 flights
  • Evenings80% on time · p90 45 min · 747 flights
  • Afternoons70% on time · p90 65 min · 253 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 80% to 85% on time.

  • Saturdays85% on time · p90 25 min · 509 flights
  • Sundays85% on time · p90 25 min · 578 flights
  • Mondays85% on time · p90 30 min · 588 flights
  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 586 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 35 min · 580 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 40 min · 588 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 50 min · 590 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.