Understanding flight delays
When a flight runs late, the U.S. government sorts the cause into one of five buckets. Knowing them — and one big catch about weather — explains most of what you see in delay data.
Last reviewed June 21, 2026
The buckets
The five official causes
Every delay of 15 minutes or more gets attributed to one or more of these categories:
- Air Carrier Delay — Something within the airline's own control — maintenance, crew, baggage loading, fueling, aircraft cleaning.
- Late-Arriving Aircraft — The same plane arrived late on its previous flight, so your flight starts behind. This is the knock-on effect that ripples through the day.
- National Aviation System (NAS) — The shared system: airport operations, heavy traffic volume, air-traffic control — and non-extreme weather.
- Extreme Weather — Severe conditions, actual or forecast, that prevent flying — tornadoes, blizzards, hurricanes.
- Security Delay — Terminal evacuations, re-boarding after a breach, broken screening equipment, or screening lines over 29 minutes.
The catch
Weather is bigger than it looks
Weather does not live only in the “Extreme Weather” bucket. Non-severe weather is folded into the NAS category, and weather also hides inside Late-Arriving Aircraft (when an earlier flight was itself weather-delayed). Because of this, BTS publishes a separate combined figure for weather’s true share of total delay — and it is consistently larger than the Extreme Weather category alone suggests.
How it's counted
The 15-minute threshold and shared blame
A delay only enters cause reporting once it reaches 15 minutes — the same threshold as the on-time definition. When several things go wrong at once, the delay minutes are split across the contributing causes rather than pinned on a single one.
Our stance
What we show — and deliberately don't
Cause data is reported using the airline’s own judgment, and the Late-Arriving Aircraft bucket in particular hides the original reason. Because per-flight cause attribution is opaque, we explain the categories here but deliberately do not paint a precise cause-by-cause breakdown for individual routes. We would rather show you the honest on-time and delay figures than over-claim aboutwhy a specific flight was late.
Sources
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